Inverse & Risk Methods in Hydrocarbon Exploration

A Compendium

by Professor Ian Lerche
published February 2005 • ISBN 0 906522 32 3 • pp. viii + 502 • 58

 

This book looks at how modern developments have enhanced the utility of basin analysis in hydrocarbon exploration. A major factor is modern computing power, which enables complex Monte Carlo-type calculations to be rapidly carried out; a second is the transfer of concepts from the economic arena to the theatre of hydrocarbon production, for example setting risking procedures to cope with data uncertainties. In addition now there are available powerful methods for handling the determination of parameters in the highly non-linear world of equations describing various facets of basin analysis. These methods include genetic algorithms, simulated annealing methods and the so-called 'fast path' method. All these novel procedures and methods are brought together in this volume so that students, as well as professionals, can see what the recent developments in basin analysis have amounted to, and so invoke the procedures as a solid stable platform to build on.

 

Contents

Preface

Introduction

Geological Models for the Next Decade: What Do We Need to Reduce Hydrocarbon Exploration Risk?

Relative Contributions of Geological Factors to Uncertainty of the Qingshahou Source Rock Evaluation in the North Shongliao Basin, China (with X. Pang and Z. Chen)

Measures of Value-added Information in Hydrocarbon Exploration Projects

Inverse Methods and Uncertainties in Stratigraphy and Basin Analysis

World Estimates of Hydrate Resources, Basic Properties of Hydrates, and Azerbaijan Hydrates (with Elchin Bagirov)

Hydrate Composition Determination from Seismic Data: An Inverse Procedure (with S. Noeth)

Risking Basin Analysis Results. I. (with Francisco Rocha-Legorreta)

Risking Basin Analysis Results. II. The Influence of Erosion Uncertainties

Risking Basin Analysis Results. III. The Influence of Uncertain Geochemical Parameters on Hydrocarbon Exploration

Hydrocarbon Accumulation Control by Predominant Migration Pathways (with Xiongqi Pang, Haiyan Zhou and Zhengxue Jiang)

Prediction of the Distribution Range of Deep basin gas Accumulations and Application in the Turpan-Hami Basin (with Xiongqi Pang, Zhijun Jin, Jianhui Zeng)

Oil and Gas Estimates for Arctic National Wildlife Refuge Area 1002, Alaska (with Francisco Rocha-Legorreta)

Epilogue

 

About the Author

Professor Ian Lerche is currently Deutscher Acadmischer Austausch Dienst (DAAD) Visiting Professor of Geology at the University of Leipzig, on leave from the University of South Carolina. Previously, he was with Gulf Oil from 1979 to 1984 and the University of Chicago from 1965 to 1979. He has published 18 books on a variety of geological subjects and more than 720 papers. The recipient of several awards, Professor Lerche currently serves on several editorial boards, is technical editor of one journal and European editor of another. His main research interests are risk and hazard analysis, environmental problems, basin analysis, astrophysics, petroleum production economics, salt dynamics and hydrodynamic flow of oil and gas. Professor Lerche was educated at the University of Manchester, England, where he received his BSc in Physics in 1962 and his PhD in 1965.

 

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